{
  "url_hash": "a81812cc857bff06",
  "source_id": "cls",
  "title": "存储红利向“非AI”扩散：这两类内存年内涨价翻倍 机构预计下半年“涨声”不断",
  "text": "标题:存储红利向“非AI”扩散：这两类内存年内涨价翻倍 机构预计下半年“涨声”不断\n[sentiment=positive importance=3 event_type=行业政策 公司=东芯股份,兆易创新,普冉股份 行业=存储芯片,半导体]\n摘要:存储红利向车规和工控扩散，NOR Flash和SLC NAND上半年合约价涨幅超100%，预计下半年继续上涨。\n正文:《科创板日报》6月16日讯（编辑 宋子乔）\n这波存储红利，正从AI领域向车规和工控领域扩散。\n根据TrendForce集邦咨询最新研究，\n由于存储器大厂的产能规划持续倾向HBM、高层数3D NAND等高附加价值产品，挤压NOR Flash、SLC NAND依赖的成熟制程产能\n，然而因需求稳定，已推动\n2026上半年NOR Flash、SLC NAND累计合约价涨幅分别突破100%\n。由于供应商未有大规模扩产计划，预估下半年两项产品的价格将随供需紧张而继续调升。\nNOR Flash、SLC NAND均属于闪存（Flash Memory），本质都是非易失性存储，设备断电后数据不会丢失。\nNOR Flash能快速运行程序、稳定性强，主要用于车载固件、边缘AI、工控、卫星、路由器，用来存储开机系统程序；SLC NAND的优点是耐用、出错少，广泛应用于工业设备、服务器系统盘、缓存、医疗军工设备。\n该机构表示，2026上半年终端对存储器产品需求逐步恢复，加上AI相关应用快速成长，大幅消耗市场有限的供给，NOR Flash率先出现交期延长与配货现象，\n合约价平均累计涨幅将达100-120%，高容量产品涨势更显著\n；SLC NAND则因部分国际大厂陆续退出小容量及成熟制程产品，供给明显减少，而工控、车用及网通客户又开始建立长期安全库存，导致第二季出现明显备货潮，\n上半年价格平均累计涨幅将达130-150%\n。\n其预期下半年开始，高度依赖长生命周期产品的车用与工控市场将形成长期缺货风险，其中，高容量NOR Flash有车用电子与边缘AI需求支撑，\n预计下半年价格仍有60-65%以上的调涨空间\n；SLC NAND虽然多数产品需求未明显增加，供应来源却持续减少，\n预估2026下半年价格涨势虽将收敛，但仍有70-75%的上涨空间\n，工业、车规级产品涨势可能更强。\n近期多家存储企业的表态和机构调研纪要印证了上述报告。\n东芯股份在日前接受机构调研时表示，自2025年下半年以来，主要受大容量产品结构性供需失衡影响，中小容量SLC NAND、DRAM等产品价格稳步上行。兆易创新称，NOR Flash受益于下游服务器、汽车等领域需求的拉动，叠加价格温和上涨，一季度收入环比增长良好；SLC NAND Flash在海外大厂加速退出2D NAND的背景下，面临显著缺货局面。普冉股份称目前全球存储代工产能呈现结构性紧缺态势，公司NOR Flash及2D NAND产能供给偏紧张。\n信达证券此前表示，由于AI不断挤压大容量存储产能，大厂逐步退出大容量利基型产品市场，竞争格局不断优化。\nTrendForce集邦咨询指出，为避免价格失控影响合作关系或促使客户寻求替代技术，主要供应商未来更可能通过长期供货合约（LTA）与选择性接单策略管理供需，意味未来市场竞争的核心将不再只是价格，而是供货稳定性与客户关系管理能力。",
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