- 升级 ECharts 到 5.4.2,重构 lib/ 目录结构 - 新增 DataTables 2.x 和 FixedColumns 插件 - 新增 quant/ 宏观研究报告模块 - 重构图表页面:stock_trend、hkholdbycode 等采用 JS fetch API.doorcome.cn 模式 - 新增 CLAUDE.md 补充页面文档和新数据流说明 - 更新 inc/config.php TuShare API 配置 - 更新新闻联播分析模块 news/ 和相关研究报告 research/ - 新增 api_document/ 参考文档 - 清理 .gitignore,排除 uploads/xls/.mcp.json/ source maps 等非代码文件 - 所有 PHP 文件通过 php -l 语法检查 Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
1415 lines
52 KiB
HTML
1415 lines
52 KiB
HTML
<!DOCTYPE html>
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<html lang="zh-CN">
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<head>
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<meta charset="UTF-8">
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<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
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<title>天岳先进(688234.SH)深度研究报告</title>
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<link href="/lib/css/fontawesome-6.4.all.min.css" rel="stylesheet">
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<script src="/research/js/chart.js"></script>
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<style>
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:root {
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--primary: #2c3e50;
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--secondary: #3498db;
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--accent: #e74c3c;
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--light: #ecf0f1;
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--dark: #2c3e50;
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--success: #2ecc71;
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--warning: #f39c12;
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--danger: #e74c3c;
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--gray: #95a5a6;
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--gray-light: #bdc3c7;
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--white: #ffffff;
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--shadow: 0 4px 6px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);
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--border-radius: 8px;
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--transition: all 0.3s ease;
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}
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* {
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margin: 0;
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padding: 0;
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box-sizing: border-box;
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}
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body {
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font-family: 'Segoe UI', Tahoma, Geneva, Verdana, sans-serif;
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line-height: 1.6;
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color: var(--dark);
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background-color: var(--light);
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overflow-x: hidden;
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}
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header {
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background-color: var(--white);
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box-shadow: var(--shadow);
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position: sticky;
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top: 0;
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z-index: 1000;
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padding: 1rem 0;
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}
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.container {
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max-width: 1200px;
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margin: 0 auto;
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padding: 0 2rem;
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}
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.header-content {
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display: flex;
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justify-content: space-between;
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align-items: center;
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}
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.logo {
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font-size: 1.5rem;
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font-weight: 700;
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color: var(--primary);
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text-decoration: none;
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display: flex;
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align-items: center;
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}
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.logo i {
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margin-right: 0.5rem;
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color: var(--secondary);
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}
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nav ul {
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display: flex;
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list-style: none;
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}
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nav ul li {
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margin-left: 1.5rem;
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}
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nav ul li a {
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text-decoration: none;
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color: var(--gray);
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font-weight: 500;
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transition: var(--transition);
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font-size: 0.95rem;
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}
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nav ul li a:hover {
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color: var(--secondary);
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}
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.hero {
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background: linear-gradient(135deg, var(--primary), var(--secondary));
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color: var(--white);
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padding: 4rem 0;
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margin-bottom: 2rem;
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border-radius: var(--border-radius);
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}
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.hero h1 {
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font-size: 2.5rem;
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margin-bottom: 1rem;
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line-height: 1.2;
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}
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.hero p {
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font-size: 1.2rem;
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max-width: 800px;
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margin-bottom: 2rem;
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opacity: 0.9;
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}
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.btn {
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display: inline-block;
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background-color: var(--white);
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color: var(--primary);
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padding: 0.8rem 1.5rem;
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border-radius: var(--border-radius);
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text-decoration: none;
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font-weight: 600;
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transition: var(--transition);
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border: none;
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cursor: pointer;
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box-shadow: 0 2px 4px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);
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}
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.btn:hover {
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background-color: var(--light);
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transform: translateY(-2px);
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box-shadow: 0 4px 8px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.15);
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}
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.section {
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background-color: var(--white);
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border-radius: var(--border-radius);
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padding: 2rem;
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margin-bottom: 2rem;
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box-shadow: var(--shadow);
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}
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.section-title {
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font-size: 1.8rem;
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margin-bottom: 1.5rem;
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color: var(--primary);
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padding-bottom: 0.5rem;
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border-bottom: 2px solid var(--light);
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display: flex;
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align-items: center;
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}
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.section-title i {
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margin-right: 0.8rem;
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color: var(--secondary);
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}
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.card {
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background-color: var(--white);
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border-radius: var(--border-radius);
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padding: 1.5rem;
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margin-bottom: 1.5rem;
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box-shadow: var(--shadow);
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transition: var(--transition);
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}
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.card:hover {
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transform: translateY(-5px);
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box-shadow: 0 10px 20px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);
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}
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.card-title {
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font-size: 1.3rem;
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margin-bottom: 1rem;
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color: var(--primary);
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}
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.card-subtitle {
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color: var(--gray);
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margin-bottom: 1rem;
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font-size: 0.95rem;
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}
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.card-content {
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color: var(--dark);
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}
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.grid {
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display: grid;
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grid-template-columns: repeat(auto-fill, minmax(300px, 1fr));
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gap: 1.5rem;
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}
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.chart-container {
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position: relative;
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height: 400px;
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margin: 2rem 0;
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}
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table {
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width: 100%;
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border-collapse: collapse;
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margin: 1.5rem 0;
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}
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th, td {
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padding: 1rem;
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text-align: left;
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border-bottom: 1px solid var(--light);
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}
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th {
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background-color: var(--light);
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color: var(--primary);
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font-weight: 600;
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}
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tr:hover {
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background-color: rgba(236, 240, 241, 0.5);
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}
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ul, ol {
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padding-left: 1.5rem;
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margin: 1rem 0;
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}
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li {
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margin-bottom: 0.5rem;
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}
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.highlight {
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background-color: rgba(52, 152, 219, 0.1);
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padding: 2rem;
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border-radius: var(--border-radius);
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margin: 1.5rem 0;
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border-left: 4px solid var(--secondary);
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}
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.highlight-title {
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font-size: 1.2rem;
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color: var(--secondary);
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margin-bottom: 1rem;
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font-weight: 600;
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}
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.highlight-content {
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color: var(--dark);
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}
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.stat-box {
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background-color: var(--light);
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border-radius: var(--border-radius);
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padding: 1.5rem;
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text-align: center;
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margin-bottom: 1.5rem;
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}
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.stat-value {
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font-size: 2rem;
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font-weight: 700;
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color: var(--secondary);
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margin-bottom: 0.5rem;
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}
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.stat-label {
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color: var(--gray);
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font-size: 0.95rem;
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}
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.progress-bar {
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height: 10px;
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background-color: var(--light);
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border-radius: 5px;
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margin-top: 0.5rem;
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overflow: hidden;
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}
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.progress-fill {
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height: 100%;
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background-color: var(--secondary);
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border-radius: 5px;
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transition: width 1s ease-in-out;
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}
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.rating {
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color: var(--warning);
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letter-spacing: 2px;
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}
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.tag {
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display: inline-block;
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background-color: rgba(52, 152, 219, 0.1);
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color: var(--secondary);
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padding: 0.25rem 0.75rem;
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border-radius: 20px;
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font-size: 0.85rem;
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margin-right: 0.5rem;
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margin-bottom: 0.5rem;
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}
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.tag-success {
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background-color: rgba(46, 204, 113, 0.1);
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color: var(--success);
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}
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.tag-warning {
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background-color: rgba(243, 156, 18, 0.1);
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color: var(--warning);
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}
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.tag-danger {
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background-color: rgba(231, 76, 60, 0.1);
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color: var(--danger);
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}
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.timeline {
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position: relative;
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max-width: 1200px;
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margin: 2rem auto;
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}
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.timeline::after {
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content: '';
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position: absolute;
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width: 4px;
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background-color: var(--light);
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top: 0;
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bottom: 0;
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left: 50%;
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margin-left: -2px;
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}
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.timeline-item {
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padding: 10px 40px;
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position: relative;
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background-color: inherit;
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width: 50%;
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}
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.timeline-item::after {
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content: '';
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position: absolute;
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width: 20px;
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height: 20px;
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right: -10px;
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background-color: var(--white);
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border: 4px solid var(--secondary);
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top: 15px;
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border-radius: 50%;
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z-index: 1;
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}
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.left {
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left: 0;
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}
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.right {
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left: 50%;
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}
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.left::after {
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right: -10px;
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}
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.right::after {
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left: -10px;
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}
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.timeline-content {
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padding: 20px;
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background-color: var(--white);
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position: relative;
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border-radius: var(--border-radius);
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box-shadow: var(--shadow);
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}
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.timeline-content h3 {
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margin-bottom: 0.5rem;
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color: var(--primary);
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}
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.timeline-content p {
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color: var(--dark);
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 768px) {
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.timeline::after {
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left: 31px;
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}
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.timeline-item {
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||
width: 100%;
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padding-left: 70px;
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padding-right: 25px;
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}
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.timeline-item::after {
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left: 21px;
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}
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.right {
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left: 0%;
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}
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}
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.footer {
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background-color: var(--primary);
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color: var(--white);
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padding: 3rem 0;
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margin-top: 3rem;
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}
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.footer-content {
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display: flex;
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justify-content: space-between;
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flex-wrap: wrap;
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}
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.footer-column {
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||
flex: 1;
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min-width: 250px;
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||
margin-bottom: 2rem;
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}
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.footer-column h3 {
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font-size: 1.2rem;
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margin-bottom: 1rem;
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color: var(--white);
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}
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.footer-column p {
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||
color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.7);
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}
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||
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.social-links {
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||
display: flex;
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||
margin-top: 1rem;
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}
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||
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.social-links a {
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||
display: inline-flex;
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align-items: center;
|
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justify-content: center;
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||
width: 40px;
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||
height: 40px;
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||
background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);
|
||
color: var(--white);
|
||
border-radius: 50%;
|
||
margin-right: 1rem;
|
||
transition: var(--transition);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.social-links a:hover {
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||
background-color: var(--secondary);
|
||
transform: translateY(-3px);
|
||
}
|
||
|
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.copyright {
|
||
text-align: center;
|
||
padding-top: 2rem;
|
||
border-top: 1px solid rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);
|
||
margin-top: 2rem;
|
||
color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.5);
|
||
font-size: 0.9rem;
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||
}
|
||
|
||
.mobile-menu-btn {
|
||
display: none;
|
||
background: none;
|
||
border: none;
|
||
font-size: 1.5rem;
|
||
color: var(--primary);
|
||
cursor: pointer;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
@media (max-width: 768px) {
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||
.mobile-menu-btn {
|
||
display: block;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
nav {
|
||
position: fixed;
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||
top: 60px;
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||
left: 0;
|
||
width: 100%;
|
||
background-color: var(--white);
|
||
box-shadow: var(--shadow);
|
||
max-height: 0;
|
||
overflow: hidden;
|
||
transition: max-height 0.3s ease;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
nav.active {
|
||
max-height: 300px;
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||
}
|
||
|
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nav ul {
|
||
flex-direction: column;
|
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padding: 1rem;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
nav ul li {
|
||
margin: 0.5rem 0;
|
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}
|
||
|
||
.hero h1 {
|
||
font-size: 2rem;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.hero p {
|
||
font-size: 1rem;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.section {
|
||
padding: 1.5rem;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.section-title {
|
||
font-size: 1.5rem;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.grid {
|
||
grid-template-columns: 1fr;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.chart-container {
|
||
height: 300px;
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/* 滚动条样式 */
|
||
::-webkit-scrollbar {
|
||
width: 8px;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
::-webkit-scrollbar-track {
|
||
background: var(--light);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
::-webkit-scrollbar-thumb {
|
||
background: var(--gray-light);
|
||
border-radius: 4px;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
::-webkit-scrollbar-thumb:hover {
|
||
background: var(--gray);
|
||
}
|
||
</style>
|
||
</head>
|
||
<body>
|
||
<header>
|
||
<div class="container header-content">
|
||
<a href="#" class="logo"><i class="fas fa-chart-line"></i> 天岳先进研究报告</a>
|
||
<button class="mobile-menu-btn"><i class="fas fa-bars"></i></button>
|
||
<nav>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><a href="#overview">公司概况</a></li>
|
||
<li><a href="#financial">财务分析</a></li>
|
||
<li><a href="#clients">客户群结构</a></li>
|
||
<li><a href="#industry">行业分析</a></li>
|
||
<li><a href="#future">未来展望</a></li>
|
||
<li><a href="#recommendation">投资建议</a></li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</nav>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</header>
|
||
|
||
<section class="hero">
|
||
<div class="container">
|
||
<h1>天岳先进(688234.SH)深度研究报告</h1>
|
||
<p>全球碳化硅衬底龙头,大尺寸战略引领未来增长</p>
|
||
<a href="#overview" class="btn">开始阅读</a>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<div class="container">
|
||
<section id="overview" class="section">
|
||
<h2 class="section-title"><i class="fas fa-building"></i> 公司概况:全球碳化硅衬底领域的领军者</h2>
|
||
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h3 class="card-title">发展历程:从实验室技术到全球前三</h3>
|
||
<div class="timeline">
|
||
<div class="timeline-item left">
|
||
<div class="timeline-content">
|
||
<h3>2010-2015年</h3>
|
||
<p>技术积累期:公司成功实现4英寸碳化硅衬底的量产,打破了国外垄断。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="timeline-item right">
|
||
<div class="timeline-content">
|
||
<h3>2016-2020年</h3>
|
||
<p>技术突破期:2017年实现6英寸碳化硅衬底量产;2019年,公司半绝缘型碳化硅衬底全球市场份额达18%,2020年上升至30%,跻身全球前三。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="timeline-item left">
|
||
<div class="timeline-content">
|
||
<h3>2021-至今</h3>
|
||
<p>快速扩张期:2021年登陆科创板;2023年具备8英寸碳化硅衬底量产能力;2024年推出业内首款12英寸碳化硅衬底,同年实现扭亏为盈。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h3 class="card-title">股权结构:宗艳民为实控人,华为系参股</h3>
|
||
<p>天岳先进的控股股东、实控人为宗艳民,直接和间接控制公司42.75%股份。除宗艳民及员工持股平台外,公司其他主要股东包括:</p>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><strong>辽宁中德</strong>:持股比例不详,为公司早期投资者。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>哈勃投资</strong>:华为投资控股有限公司下属全资子公司,持股7.0493%,为公司第四大股东。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>海通证券系</strong>:包括海通创新、辽宁海通新能源等,合计持股约7.91%。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h3 class="card-title">核心业务:专注碳化硅衬底研发生产,产品矩阵完善</h3>
|
||
<p>天岳先进是一家国内领先的宽禁带半导体(第三代半导体)衬底材料生产商,主要从事碳化硅衬底的研发、生产和销售,产品可广泛应用于微波电子、电力电子等领域。</p>
|
||
|
||
<h4>公司的核心产品包括:</h4>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><strong>半绝缘型碳化硅衬底</strong>:主要应用于5G通信、AI眼镜等领域。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>导电型碳化硅衬底</strong>:主要应用于电动汽车、光伏储能、智能电网等领域。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
|
||
<p>公司是全球少数能同时提供各种尺寸(4英寸、6英寸及8英寸)的导电型及半绝缘型碳化硅衬底的公司之一,并于2024年推出业内首款12英寸碳化硅衬底。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<section id="financial" class="section">
|
||
<h2 class="section-title"><i class="fas fa-chart-pie"></i> 财务分析:扭亏为盈,业绩步入上升通道</h2>
|
||
|
||
<div class="highlight">
|
||
<div class="highlight-title">关键财务数据</div>
|
||
<div class="highlight-content">
|
||
<p>天岳先进2024年实现了显著的业绩增长与盈利能力提升,全年营收达17.68亿元(同比+41.37%),净利润1.79亿元,成功实现扭亏。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<h3>近五年财务表现概览</h3>
|
||
<div class="chart-container">
|
||
<canvas id="revenueChart"></canvas>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<table>
|
||
<thead>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>指标(亿元)</th>
|
||
<th>2020年</th>
|
||
<th>2021年</th>
|
||
<th>2022年</th>
|
||
<th>2023年</th>
|
||
<th>2024年</th>
|
||
<th>复合增长率</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>营业收入</td>
|
||
<td>4.25</td>
|
||
<td>4.94</td>
|
||
<td>4.17</td>
|
||
<td>12.51</td>
|
||
<td>17.68</td>
|
||
<td>42.05%</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>同比增长</td>
|
||
<td>57.99%</td>
|
||
<td>16.25%</td>
|
||
<td>-15.56%</td>
|
||
<td>199.90%</td>
|
||
<td>41.37%</td>
|
||
<td>-</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>净利润</td>
|
||
<td>-6.42</td>
|
||
<td>0.90</td>
|
||
<td>-1.76</td>
|
||
<td>-0.46</td>
|
||
<td>1.79</td>
|
||
<td>-</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>毛利率</td>
|
||
<td>35.28%</td>
|
||
<td>28.43%</td>
|
||
<td>-7.90%</td>
|
||
<td>14.60%</td>
|
||
<td>25.90%</td>
|
||
<td>-</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>净利率</td>
|
||
<td>-150.90%</td>
|
||
<td>18.21%</td>
|
||
<td>-42.20%</td>
|
||
<td>-3.65%</td>
|
||
<td>10.13%</td>
|
||
<td>-</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
|
||
<h3>季度业绩分析:增长势头强劲,季度利润全面转正</h3>
|
||
<div class="chart-container">
|
||
<canvas id="quarterlyProfitChart"></canvas>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<table>
|
||
<thead>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>指标(亿元)</th>
|
||
<th>第一季度</th>
|
||
<th>第二季度</th>
|
||
<th>第三季度</th>
|
||
<th>第四季度</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>营业收入</td>
|
||
<td>4.26</td>
|
||
<td>4.86</td>
|
||
<td>3.69</td>
|
||
<td>4.87</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>同比增长</td>
|
||
<td>120.66%</td>
|
||
<td>98.49%</td>
|
||
<td>-4.60%</td>
|
||
<td>14.32%</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>净利润</td>
|
||
<td>0.46</td>
|
||
<td>0.56</td>
|
||
<td>0.41</td>
|
||
<td>0.36</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>同比增长</td>
|
||
<td>263.73%</td>
|
||
<td>227.08%</td>
|
||
<td>982.08%</td>
|
||
<td>59.74%</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>毛利率</td>
|
||
<td>24.12%</td>
|
||
<td>27.18%</td>
|
||
<td>24.55%</td>
|
||
<td>27.05%</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
|
||
<h3>主营/产品结构变迁及驱动因素分析</h3>
|
||
<div class="grid">
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">产品类型结构变化</h4>
|
||
<p>公司早期以半绝缘型碳化硅衬底为主,近年来随着新能源汽车、光伏储能等领域对导电型衬底需求的快速增长,公司加大了导电型衬底的研发和生产投入。2024年,导电型衬底已成为公司的主要收入来源,占比超过70%。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">产品尺寸结构变化</h4>
|
||
<p>公司产品尺寸结构持续优化,大尺寸衬底占比不断提高:</p>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li>2020年:以4英寸和6英寸衬底为主</li>
|
||
<li>2023年:6英寸衬底成为主流产品</li>
|
||
<li>2024年:8英寸衬底出货量快速增长,同时推出12英寸衬底</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">地域结构变化</h4>
|
||
<p>公司市场地域结构也发生了显著变化,海外市场占比快速提升:</p>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li>2022年:海外收入占比为12.6%</li>
|
||
<li>2023年:海外收入占比提升至33.1%</li>
|
||
<li>2024年:海外收入达8.4亿元,占比提升至47.5%</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<section id="clients" class="section">
|
||
<h2 class="section-title"><i class="fas fa-users"></i> 客户群结构分析:集中度下降,国际化程度提升</h2>
|
||
|
||
<div class="chart-container">
|
||
<canvas id="clientConcentrationChart"></canvas>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<table>
|
||
<thead>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>年份</th>
|
||
<th>前五大客户收入占比</th>
|
||
<th>第一大客户收入占比</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>2020年</td>
|
||
<td>89.45%</td>
|
||
<td>45.43%</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>2022年</td>
|
||
<td>65.00%</td>
|
||
<td>26.00%</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>2023年</td>
|
||
<td>51.30%</td>
|
||
<td>17.10%</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>2024年前三季度</td>
|
||
<td>53.20%</td>
|
||
<td>14.40%</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h3 class="card-title">主要客户类型变化:从关联方到国际巨头</h3>
|
||
<p>天岳先进的客户类型在过去五年也发生了显著变化,主要表现为关联方客户占比下降,国际知名企业客户占比上升。</p>
|
||
|
||
<h4>国际客户占比上升</h4>
|
||
<p>公司积极拓展国际市场,与全球前十大功率半导体器件制造商中一半以上的制造商建立业务合作关系。2024年,公司国际客户收入贡献显著增长,其中:</p>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li>英飞凌、博世等全球知名电力电子、汽车电子企业成为公司重要客户。</li>
|
||
<li>欧洲客户订单价格较国内高15%-20%,英飞凌、意法半导体等国际大厂采购额达5.18亿元。</li>
|
||
<li>华为定制半绝缘型衬底用于5G基站,2024年采购额达3.2亿元,占总营收18%。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<section id="industry" class="section">
|
||
<h2 class="section-title"><i class="fas fa-industry"></i> 行业分析:碳化硅衬底市场前景广阔,竞争格局优化</h2>
|
||
|
||
<div class="chart-container">
|
||
<canvas id="marketShareChart"></canvas>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<table>
|
||
<thead>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>排名</th>
|
||
<th>厂商</th>
|
||
<th>市场份额</th>
|
||
<th>地区</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>1</td>
|
||
<td>Wolfspeed</td>
|
||
<td>33.7%</td>
|
||
<td>美国</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>2</td>
|
||
<td>天岳先进(SICC)</td>
|
||
<td>22.8%</td>
|
||
<td>中国</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>3</td>
|
||
<td>天科合达(TanKeBlue)</td>
|
||
<td>17.3%</td>
|
||
<td>中国</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>4</td>
|
||
<td>Coherent(原II-VI)</td>
|
||
<td>13.9%</td>
|
||
<td>美国</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>其他</td>
|
||
<td>-</td>
|
||
<td>12.3%</td>
|
||
<td>-</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
|
||
<div class="grid">
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">全球市场规模</h4>
|
||
<p>全球碳化硅衬底市场近年来保持快速增长,2024年虽受价格下降影响出现小幅调整,但长期增长趋势不变。</p>
|
||
<p>据弗若斯特沙利文预测,全球碳化硅衬底市场规模将从2024年的92亿元增长至2030年的664亿元,复合增长率为39.0%。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">主要应用领域</h4>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><strong>新能源汽车</strong>:800V高压平台的普及推动碳化硅需求快速增长</li>
|
||
<li><strong>光伏储能</strong>:碳化硅在逆变器、升压变换器中的渗透率持续提升</li>
|
||
<li><strong>AI数据中心</strong>:AI数据中心容量预计将从2023年的55GW增长至2030年的299GW</li>
|
||
<li><strong>AR眼镜</strong>:预计2030年全球AR眼镜出货量超1亿台</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">未来发展趋势</h4>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><strong>产品尺寸向大尺寸化发展</strong>:8英寸衬底起量,12英寸衬底已有研发样品</li>
|
||
<li><strong>价格逐步下降</strong>:随着产能扩张和技术进步,碳化硅衬底价格逐步下降</li>
|
||
<li><strong>行业集中度提升</strong>:中小企业面临淘汰,行业集中度将逐步提升</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h3 class="card-title">天岳先进的竞争优势</h3>
|
||
<div class="grid">
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">技术与研发优势</h4>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li>全球少数能够批量出货8英寸碳化硅衬底的市场参与者之一</li>
|
||
<li>2024年推出业内首款12英寸碳化硅衬底</li>
|
||
<li>截至2024年末,公司累计获得发明专利授权194项</li>
|
||
<li>全链条技术自主可控,供应链本土化率超99.9%</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">产能与规模优势</h4>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li>上海临港工厂已提前达到年产30万片导电型衬底的产能规划</li>
|
||
<li>2024年公司碳化硅衬底产量达41.02万片,较2023年增长56.56%</li>
|
||
<li>计划将港股IPO募资用于扩产8英寸衬底、加速12英寸研发</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">产品质量与客户认可</h4>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li>产品已与全球前十大功率半导体器件制造商中一半以上建立合作</li>
|
||
<li>国际客户收入占比提升至47.5%</li>
|
||
<li>据日本富士经济报告测算,2024年市场份额达22.8%,全球排名第二</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<section id="future" class="section">
|
||
<h2 class="section-title"><i class="fas fa-chart-area"></i> 未来展望:分析师及媒体观点</h2>
|
||
|
||
<div class="chart-container">
|
||
<canvas id="earningsForecastChart"></canvas>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<table>
|
||
<thead>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>机构名称</th>
|
||
<th>2025年净利润预测(亿元)</th>
|
||
<th>2026年净利润预测(亿元)</th>
|
||
<th>2027年净利润预测(亿元)</th>
|
||
<th>评级</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>山西证券</td>
|
||
<td>2.64</td>
|
||
<td>3.23</td>
|
||
<td>3.94</td>
|
||
<td>增持</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>上海证券</td>
|
||
<td>2.96</td>
|
||
<td>4.78</td>
|
||
<td>6.38</td>
|
||
<td>买入</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>国信证券</td>
|
||
<td>2.37</td>
|
||
<td>4.64</td>
|
||
<td>6.38</td>
|
||
<td>优于大市</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>国投证券</td>
|
||
<td>2.71</td>
|
||
<td>4.15</td>
|
||
<td>5.49</td>
|
||
<td>买入</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>长城证券</td>
|
||
<td>3.00</td>
|
||
<td>4.77</td>
|
||
<td>6.56</td>
|
||
<td>买入</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>平均</td>
|
||
<td>2.92</td>
|
||
<td>4.66</td>
|
||
<td>6.29</td>
|
||
<td>-</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
|
||
<div class="grid">
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">行业专家观点</h4>
|
||
<p><strong>宗艳民(天岳先进董事长)</strong></p>
|
||
<p>"新能源汽车作为核心驱动力,全球新能源车销量不断攀升,国内800V高压车型渗透率预计突破30%;碳化硅衬底制备面临重重困难,材料特性极为苛刻,这种技术壁垒将促使行业技术分化更为显著。"</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">媒体观点</h4>
|
||
<p><strong>《21世纪经济报道》</strong></p>
|
||
<p>"天岳先进在全球碳化硅衬底市场的地位不断提升,2024年市场份额达22.8%,位列全球第二。随着Wolfspeed的危机,天岳先进有望进一步扩大市场份额。"</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">风险提示</h4>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li class="tag tag-warning">行业竞争加剧</li>
|
||
<li class="tag tag-warning">技术迭代风险</li>
|
||
<li class="tag tag-warning">客户集中风险</li>
|
||
<li class="tag tag-warning">财务风险</li>
|
||
<li class="tag tag-warning">国际贸易风险</li>
|
||
<li class="tag tag-warning">产能过剩风险</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<section id="recommendation" class="section">
|
||
<h2 class="section-title"><i class="fas fa-lightbulb"></i> 投资建议与风险提示</h2>
|
||
|
||
<div class="highlight">
|
||
<div class="highlight-title">投资评级:买入</div>
|
||
<div class="highlight-content">
|
||
<p>我们预计天岳先进2025-2027年归母净利润分别为2.92亿元、4.66亿元和6.29亿元,对应EPS分别为0.68元、1.08元和1.46元,当前股价对应PE分别为89倍、56倍和40倍。考虑到公司在全球碳化硅衬底市场的领先地位、大尺寸技术优势以及行业长期成长性,首次覆盖给予"买入"评级。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="grid">
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">投资逻辑</h4>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><strong>行业地位领先</strong>:全球排名第二的碳化硅衬底制造商,市场份额达22.8%</li>
|
||
<li><strong>技术优势显著</strong>:全球少数能够批量出货8英寸碳化硅衬底的企业</li>
|
||
<li><strong>产能扩张加速</strong>:上海临港工厂产能持续释放</li>
|
||
<li><strong>国际化战略推进</strong>:海外收入占比已达47.5%</li>
|
||
<li><strong>下游需求旺盛</strong>:新能源汽车、光伏储能等领域需求快速增长</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<h4 class="card-title">主要风险</h4>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><strong>行业竞争加剧</strong>:中国厂商产能快速扩张,可能导致价格进一步下降</li>
|
||
<li><strong>技术迭代风险</strong>:大尺寸衬底良率提升难度大,技术迭代速度快</li>
|
||
<li><strong>客户集中风险</strong>:2024年前三季度前五大客户收入占比仍达53.2%</li>
|
||
<li><strong>财务风险</strong>:资产负债率上升,2024年达27.78%</li>
|
||
<li><strong>国际贸易风险</strong>:全球贸易环境变化可能影响公司的国际业务</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
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</section>
|
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</div>
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<footer class="footer">
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<div class="footer-column">
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<h3>关于我们</h3>
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<p>我们提供专业的金融分析和投资研究报告,帮助投资者做出明智的决策。</p>
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<p>邮箱:info@financialanalyst.com</p>
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<p>电话:+86 123 4567 8910</p>
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<div class="footer-column">
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<h3>相关报告</h3>
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<ul>
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<li><a href="#">半导体行业深度分析</a></li>
|
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<li><a href="#">新能源汽车行业研究</a></li>
|
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<li><a href="#">第三代半导体材料趋势</a></li>
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<li><a href="#">全球碳化硅市场展望</a></li>
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</footer>
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<script>
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